Q1 2020 Release of the EDHECinfra Indices Infrastructure businesses are usually impacted by the tail end of recessions: demand for essential services flags, public counterparty risks increase and even long-term financing may become hard to come by. This crisis is different. Like a well-prepared military assault, it began by taking out all key transport infrastructure. The impact of the oncoming...

By Jack Lee – Deputy Head of Data In response to the coronavirus Covid-19, many governments have put their nations into “lockdown” measures and/or strict movement controls. These inevitably have a knock-on effect on various infrastructure business models and their relevant investments. The business models most impacted include merchant and regulated arrangements, as per the TICCS® Business-Risk Classification, where revenues...

[mathjax] In this note, we provide some details and clarifications about our 2019Q4 index release with a focus on the performance of UK water utilities. Our 16th January release mentions that upward movements in gilt rates in the last months of 2019 led to negative returns for numerous infrastructure companies in that quarter, especially firms with very long-term cash flow...

In the 2019Q4 Index Release made on January 16, 2020, it was mentioned that South East Water suffered a negative return in the 4th quarter of 2019 due to a “revision of its financial forecast.” This statement was not accurate on two counts: The forecast in question is produced by EDHECinfra’s cash flow models and analyses but was not produced or...

Unlisted infrastructure equity gave back some of the year’s gains in the final quarter of 2019 as rising bond yields curbed DCF valuations. Despite lower risk premia, performance was also tempered by flat average revenue growth. The EDHECinfra Global Unlisted Equity Index fell 2.58% to 5228 points by year end, though that still represents a year-on-year gain of 14.06%. The...

A new paper drawn from the Natixis/EDHECinfra research chair sheds new light on the drivers of returns in private infrastructure debt. Infrastructure credit spreads remain twice as high today as in 2008, but this new research shows that only 30bps of this increase cannot be explained by changes in systematic risk factor prices....