Private Fund Performance vs. Private Markets
Fact: fund Valuations tend to lag the market
Source: Scientific Infra & Private Assets (SIPA), 2025. The Composite Fund Index represents global buyout fund performance as reported by asset managers. The private2000 index represents the performance of 2000 private firms in 30 key markets.
NAVs vs. Market Prices: Stylised Facts
Until 2020: Systematic Underpricing of NAVs
From 2013 to 2020 there is clear evidence of systematic underpricing of private fund NAVs relative to their fair (exit) value.
2020-2022: Converging NAVs and Market Prices
Underpriced NAVs reflected inadequate valuation practices. 2020-22 sees a convergence between reported and market performance
Today: Systematic Overvaluation of NAVs?
Discounted exit prices create a new divergence as NAVs are often re-marked up after being acquired at the market price.
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